Sunday, January 27, 2008

La Niña Event are having an impact on the upcoming winter of 2008(为什么湖南省会持续冰冻雨雪天气)


What is La Niña ?


La Niña translates from Spanish as "the girl-child". The term "La Niña" has recently become the conventional meteorological label for the opposite of the better known El Niño.
The term La Niña refers to the extensive cooling of the central and eastern Pacific Ocean. In Australia (particularly eastern Australia), La Niña events are associated with increased probability of wetter conditions.
Changes to the atmosphere and ocean circulation during La Niña events include:
Cooler than normal ocean temperatures across the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean.
Increased convection or cloudiness over tropical Australia, Papua New-Guinea, and Indonesia.
Stronger than normal (easterly) trade winds across the Pacific Ocean (but not necessarily in the Australian region).
High (positive) values of the SOI (Southern Oscillation Index).
A La Niña event is sometimes called an anti-ENSO (anti-El Niño-Southern Oscillation) event.


La Niña Event:拉尼娜现象


“国家气候中心认为,目前赤道中东太平洋已进入拉尼娜状态,并有可能形成一次弱的拉尼娜事件。中国北方特别是黄河中游地区易形成秋汛,冬季中国大部分地区易发生阶段性的严寒冻害,尤其对南方越冬作物造成影响,需及早预防。”


“什么原因导致大雪频频光顾我国?国家气候中心气候预测室副主任陈丽娟表示,在拉尼娜事件强度偏强的大背景下,天气与气候的异常是导致大范围雨雪频频出现的主要原因。目前,长江以北地区气候异常,降水较同期偏多,气温较同期偏低,这主要是因为从年初至目前,我国的大气环流分布异常,副热带系统异常偏强,冷空气十分活跃,冷暖空气在中东部地区频繁交锋,使得这一带持续出现大范围雨雪天气。此外,国家气候中心通过对当前ENSO(厄尔尼诺和南方涛动)状态的监测和诊断分析,并结合模式预报结果,预计此次拉尼娜事件可能是一次生命史较长的事件,至少将持续到2008年夏季之前,强度达到中等或者偏强。而在较强拉尼娜事件发生的当年冬季,有利于中纬度大气环流的经向度加强,即冷空气活动频繁,有可能造成我国东部大部地区,尤其是长江及其以北地区气温偏低,降水偏多。”


以上均为节选~~


But obviously,the atrocious weather now is the "GIFT" of La Niña .


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